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Bottom dysphoria non binary

So for starters, tell me about what happened tonight. How do you feel about it. Thanks to SAG-AFTRA and its members for their ongoing generosity and support of the organization and our cause. We can help you create a personalized action plan. Helpful to Note: Always keep conversations open and honest. Balance positive reinforcement and negative reinforcement.

Keep in mind that teachable moments come up all of the time be mindful of natural places for the conversation to go in order to broach the topic of drugs and alcohol.

Jump to: 2-4 Years Old 5-8 Years Old 9-12 Years Old 13-18 Years Old 19-25 Years Old What to Say to Your Preschooler About Drugs (2-4 years old) Since the foundation for all healthy habits from nutrition to toothbrushing is laid down during the preschool years, this is a great time to set the stage for a drug-free life. The following scripts will help you get conversations going with your 2- to 4-year-old child: Scenario Giving your child a daily vitamin What to Say Vitamins help your body grow.

Scenario Your kids are curious about medicine bottles around the house What to Say You should only take medicines that have your name on them or that your doctor has chosen just for you. Discuss how good you feel when you take care of yourself how you can run, jump, play and work for many hours.

Turn chores like brushing teeth, putting away toys, wiping up spills, and caring for pets into fun experiences that your child will enjoy. Break the activities down into manageable steps so that your child learns to develop plans.

Help your child steer clear of dangerous substances that exist in her immediate world. Point out poisonous and harmful chemicals commonly found in homes, such as bleach, kitchen cleansers and furniture polish. Explain that she should only eat or smell food or a medicine from a doctor that you, a relative or other known caregivers give to her.

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Also, explain that drugs from the doctor help the person the doctor gives them to but that they can harm someone else. Help your child understand the difference between make-believe and real life. Ask your child what he thinks about a TV program or story. Let your child know about your likes and dislikes. Discuss how violence or bad decisions can hurt people.

Turn frustration into a learning opportunity. If a tower of blocks keeps collapsing during a play session, work with your child to find possible solutions to the problem.

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Tips for Conversations with Your Early Elementary School Child Talk to your kids about the drug-related messages they receive through advertisements, the news media and entertainment sources.

Keep your discussions about substances focused on the present long-term consequences are too distant to have any meaning. Talk about the differences between the medicinal uses and illegal uses of drugs, and how drugs can negatively impact the families and friends of people who use them. Set clear rules and explain the reasons for your rules.

If you use tobacco or alcohol, be mindful of the message you are sending to your children. Work on problem solving: Help them find long-lasting solutions to homework trouble, a fight with a friend, or in dealing with a bully. Be sure to point out that quick fixes are not long-term solutions.

Give your kids the power to escape from situations that make them feel bad. Check in once in awhile to make sure they are giving their children the same kinds of messages you give your children. The following scripts will help you get conversations going with your 9- to 12-year-old: Scenario Your child is just starting middle school and you know that eventually, he will be offered drugs and alcohol.

Research shows that kids are less likely to use tobacco, alcohol, and other drugs if their parents have established a pattern of setting clear rules and consequences for breaking those rules.

Offset those feelings with a lot of positive comments about who he is as an individual and not just when he brings home an A. Tell them about the smelly hair and ashtray breath caused by cigarettes.

Check in by phone or a visit once in awhile to make sure they are on the same page with prohibiting drug or alcohol use, particularly when their home is to be used for a party or sleepover.

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Help children separate reality from fantasy.Interpretation of statistical information can often involve the development of a null hypothesis which is usually (but not necessarily) that no relationship exists among variables or that no change occurred over time.

The null hypothesis, H0, asserts that the defendant is innocent, whereas the alternative hypothesis, H1, asserts that the defendant is guilty. The indictment comes because of suspicion of the guilt.

The H0 (status quo) stands in opposition to H1 and is maintained unless H1 is supported by evidence "beyond a reasonable doubt". However, "failure to reject H0" in this case does not imply innocence, but merely that the evidence was insufficient to convict.

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So the jury does not necessarily accept H0 but fails to reject H0. While one can not "prove" a null hypothesis, one can test how close it is to being true with a power test, which tests for type II errors. What statisticians call an alternative hypothesis is simply a hypothesis that contradicts the null hypothesis. Working from a null hypothesis, two basic forms of error are recognized:Standard deviation refers to the extent to which individual observations in a sample differ from a central value, such as the sample or population mean, while Standard error refers to an estimate of difference between sample mean and population mean.

A statistical error is the amount by which an observation differs from its expected value, a residual is the amount an observation differs from the value the estimator of the expected value assumes on a given sample (also called prediction). Mean squared error is used for obtaining efficient estimators, a widely used class of estimators.

Root mean square error is simply the square root of mean squared error. Many statistical methods seek to minimize the residual sum of squares, and these are called "methods of least squares" in contrast to Least absolute deviations.

The latter gives equal weight to small and big errors, while the former gives more weight to large errors. Residual sum of squares is also differentiable, which provides a handy property for doing regression.

Least squares applied to linear regression is called ordinary least squares method and least squares applied to nonlinear regression is called non-linear least squares. Also in a linear regression model the non deterministic part of the model is called error term, disturbance or more simply noise.

Measurement processes that generate statistical data are also subject to error. Any estimates obtained from the sample only approximate the population value. Confidence intervals allow statisticians to express how closely the sample estimate matches the true value in the whole population.

From the frequentist perspective, such a claim does not even make sense, as the true value is not a random variable.

Either the true value is or is not within the given interval. One approach that does yield an interval that can be interpreted as having a given probability of containing the true value is to use a credible interval from Bayesian statistics: this approach depends on a different way of interpreting what is meant by "probability", that is as a Bayesian probability. In principle confidence intervals can be symmetrical or asymmetrical. An interval can be asymmetrical because it works as lower or upper bound for a parameter (left-sided interval or right sided interval), but it can also be asymmetrical because the two sided interval is built violating symmetry around the estimate.

Sometimes the bounds for a confidence interval are reached asymptotically and these are used to approximate the true bounds. Interpretation often comes down to the level of statistical significance applied to the numbers and often refers to the probability of a value accurately rejecting the null hypothesis (sometimes referred to as the p-value).

A critical region is the set of values of the estimator that leads to refuting the null hypothesis. The probability of type I error is therefore the probability that the estimator belongs to the critical region given that null hypothesis is true (statistical significance) and the probability of type II error is the probability that the estimator doesn't belong to the critical region given that the alternative hypothesis is true.The simple act of putting a gluten-free bagel in your toaster can transfer small amounts of gluten to this previously safe food.

If you live with people who don't share your diet, you really need to be careful. When it comes to cutting boards, avoiding wood is a good idea, since it's absorbent. I use plastic, and I have one that's just for gluten-containing foods and one that's kept free of them. Same goes for your colander. To save on dishes, you can also prepare your food first and then re-use things for everyone else's. In my kitchen, you'll also find two butter dishes in use so I can keep mine from free from all those little glutinous crumbs that are transferred from the knife.

My butter is kept on a higher shelf as well, so my kids don't accidentally grab it. The toaster is an annoying one because it can be expensive.

I considered two options: adding a second toaster to my kitchen, or buying a four-slice model with good separation between "their" side and mine.

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Because I don't have the space for two, I opted for a four-slice one. I get the two slots on the left, while everyone else uses the right.

Because gluten is responsible for the textures we're used to in baked goods, you may find that the things you bake with gluten-free flours just don't measure up. I've even found mixes that end up dry and crumbly. Something that really helps is using xanthan gum or guar gum.

They help bind the food together and have a better texture. I don't bake a tremendous amount, but for everything I have baked with gluten-free flour, a multi-purpose blend with a little xanthan gum has worked really well. Some people do prefer different types of flours for different recipes, though. Lots of advice is out there, online and in cook books, from people who really know what they're doing. You can find a lot of gluten-free mixes on store shelves, and some of them are really good.

However, some can come out quite dry. I've had good luck with adding an extra egg or a bit more liquid than what's called for.

It takes some experimentation and might not always work, but it's worth it when you end up with something that's a true replacement for a food you miss. When you're on a special diet and also have an illness that can prevent you from certain basic tasks, such as cooking from scratch or grocery shopping, it becomes important to keep simple options on hand. I make sure to keep a few frozen, gluten-free meals in my freezer for when I need them.

When I haven't had them, I've regretted it. I've also found some gluten-free wraps and tortillas that I like, and they're great for making a quick meal out of leftovers or sandwich fixings.The Miners sit in second place in Group F ahead of the visit of Manchester City and they are three points clear of third-placed Napoli.

Shakhtar Donetsk are one point away from booking their place in the last 16 of the elit. Spurs have been producing splendid showings in the group stages of the elite competition and it is no surprise they are seen as hot favourit. The Romans have been producing fine displays in the elite competitions this season and they are on the verge of making it to the last 16.

Thanks to a goalless draw with Juventus in Turin the Catalan giants cemented top position in Group D, whilst the Lions have yet to book their place in the knockout stages of the elite competition. This has to go down as a must-win game for the Primeira Liga side, but we do not.

Les Parisiens outclassed the mighty Bavarians at their Parc des Princes earlier in the process, but it has to be noted that the Bundesliga champions were totally out of form back then.

Bayern Munich have been producing fine performances in all competitions ever sin. The Primeira Liga side have been struggling in the Champions League this season and, as a result, they failed to book their place in the knockout stages of the elite competition. The Eagles suffered a loss in each of their five group games and, no doubt, they are desperate to give. The Scottish champions did well to beat the Belgians at S. The Red Devils have been producing fine performances in the Champions League this season and seeing that they have already got their job done in the group stages of the elite competition, we predict coach Jose Mourinho will mix the squad against CSKA Moscow.

Juve sit in second place in Group D ahead of the trip to Piraeus and seeing that third-placed Sporting face Barcelona at C.

Press enter or select the go button to submit requestSearch by city or zip code. Press enter or select the go button to submit request Local forecast by"City, St" or Zip Code Search by city or zip code. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Fujita Page Our History Public Tours Misc. For example, storm report page for 20150430 covers reports from 20150430 at 1200 UTC to 20150501 at 1159 UTC.

Full report in comma-separated values (CSV) format and in KML format. Full filtered report in comma-separated values (CSV) format and in KML format. KML files are created with time-enabled placemarks compatible with Google Earth Time Slider. Raw full report in comma-separated values (CSV) format.

List of Weather Forecast Office 3-letter IDs appear in the report comments section. If you would like to view storm report images for a previous day, type in the date you wish to retrieve (e.

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Norman, OK 73072 U. In addition to the principle theme of shared responsibility, each week of NCSAM has its own theme as well. When the term incident response is raised, the first thing that might come to mind is organizations having to prepare for a possible cyber incident that might adversely affect its operations and bottom line. And that is, indeed, true as ever, but incident response is also the business of anyone operating an endpoint, including consumers, whether using the internet on a desktop, laptop or mobile device.

With attacks such as ransomware rising uncontrollably, constant escalation in mobile threats, and cybercriminals devising more ways to compromise and use personal data, it is high time for consumers to have an incident response plan of their own.On Twitter, his followers number more than 117,000. From a young age I watched haggard men peddle worthless tip sheets at the racetrack.

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If a handicapper truly had an edge, I quickly learned, he would guard it. He would have everything to losequite literallyby advertising it.

This axiom seems to escape journalists increasingly wading into covering sports betting, to say nothing of the desperate customers paying for picks. I spent a year investigating the tout industry and discovered the same old racket, wrapped in sophisticated-looking, digital-era packaging.

In private, Bell seems to tell a different story. If you came across RJ Bell on ESPN or glanced at the cover of The New York Times Magazine a few years ago, you would find no reason to question his credibility. Go to Pregame, and you only find winning records. But running a tout service is an ongoing sleight of hand, beginning with those records. The real world is getting ignored. And touts, because of the fees they charge for picks, have to be even more successful than that to make their clients money in the long run.

Bell demands that Pregame customers trust him on this. Bell loves to say that every pick ever sold on Pregame is archived and available for review.

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This is ostensibly true, but to access results older than 30 days requires clicking through a calendar, day by day, and entering CAPTCHA codes for each one. Before long you find yourself in an infinite CAPTCHA loop, unable to continue, blocked from any attempts to tabulate the hard evidence.

Two real-world bettors, one of whom is a former financial analyst in his late 20s who is highly regarded by oddsmakers, developed a script to scrape Pregame.

You can view and download a spreadsheet containing all the data, including every single Pregame pick dating back to Jan. It is a large file and may take several minutes to open. Based on full record of Pregame picks. The data covers 49 touts who sold their plays during this period (not including those whose existences have been completely expunged from the archives, like David Glisan, Mike Hook, and Stan Sharp), and of those 49, only 11 of them showed a profit.

Of those gains, most were marginal and would be wiped out by standard fees. Flipping a coin would have been a more cost-effective strategy. Based on full record of Pregame picks plus standard per-pick prices. His touts, he claims, win 55 percent of the time.

Such a strike rate would be a license to print money.

Bell is smart enough to understand that shouting about winning records of 75-90 percent, as some barrel-bottom touts do, would only garner ridicule. It tells you something that for all their supposed professionalism, touts still use aliases. At Pregame, the big ones go by names like Fezzik, Goodfella, Spartan, Sleepyj, VegasButcher, and King Creole. In July 2014, Bell patted himself on the back when he announced on Pregame a new standard for his touts: They had to publicly provide their real name and a signed declaration declaring any past legal troubles.

As touts bounce from site to site, sometimes under different names, there really is no way to determine their true track records. Touts plug away despite columns of red, all the while advertising useless cherry-picked short-term streaks or outright falsified ones. Like most touts, Coach sold picks in a few places. Every Super Bowl, places like The PBS NewsHour turn to the bespectacled Covers as the prototypical long-time professional bettora sharp.

Teddy Covers is as sharp as a marble. A documented six-year loser at SportsMemo, he became one of the faces of Pregame after joining in August 2014. How rare was it. He had sold another one nine days earlier. Fezzik, whose real name is Steve Fenic, joined Pregame with much hullabaloo in early 2013.A good big fighter beats a good little fighter and Lomachenko could even stop him.

I see him winning by stoppage somewhere around the eighth or ninth. He attacks from angles rather than straight lines. Rigondeaux is very patient on the back foot and has exceptional timing but I think Lomachenko will be too busy and too big physically. What a match up.

No one has more ability than this pair. Both have got talent pouring out of their ears. Both have got great attributes and can win any fight on their best day. Rigondeaux is the more experienced and very sharp.

He might be able to catch Lomachenko and deliver the knockout blow. So, IOW, after the fight ends, there will either be 11 experts who are no longer experts, or 3 experts who are no longer experts. My head is spinning.

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And someone posted yesterday that around the time of the weigh-in, Vegas odds were 2. He's too good for him. Tags: Vasyl Lomachenko Guillermo Rigondeaux Lomachenko vs. Post a Comment - View More User Comments (12) freestar. Daily Bread Mailbag: Loma-Rigo, Golovkin, Cotto, Roy Jones, More Photos: Luis Ortiz Trades Words With Deontay Wilder After Win Lomachenko vs.

Rigondeaux: 14 UK Experts Give Predictions Video: Memo Heredia on Marquez, Chavez Jr, Salido, Andy Ruiz Skoglund Suffers Sparring Injury, Dimitrenko's Opponent Falls Out Benavidez's Manager Reacts To DeGale, Says Eubank Wins WBSS Ravshan Hudaynazarov Snaps Layoff, Returns in Baton Rouge Video: Cecilia Braekhus Talks Cyborg, Career Update, More Video: Loeffler Talks Canelo-GGG, Charlo, Superfly 2, More Lomachenko vs.

Wilder To Luis Ortiz: We Must Fight, You Will Have Your Fight. Express Sport predicts who will be the big winners and losers in Gameweek 16Premier League action is back again this weekend, and there are a couple of huge derby clashes to look forward too.

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West Ham host Chelsea in the early kick-off (12. Tottenham will be looking to get back to winning ways against Stoke while Crystal Palace and Swansea both have vital home fixtures against Bournemouth and West Brom in the 3pm fixtures.

Leicester will be confident of getting a result away at Newcastle this evening (5. Arsenal travel to Southampton (12pm), Liverpool host Everton in the Merseyside derby (2.

Take a look through the gallery above to see how we think each Premier League team will get on during the latest round of matches.Astros101-61AstrosDodgers104-58DodgersCubs92-70CubsYankees91-71YankeesIndians102-60IndiansNationals97-65NationalsRed Sox93-69Red SoxDiamondbacks93-69DbacksRockies87-75RockiesTwins85-77TwinsBrewers86-76BrewersCardinals83-79CardinalsRays80-82RaysRoyals80-82RoyalsAngels80-82AngelsRangers78-84RangersMariners78-84MarinersMarlins77-85MarlinsBlue Jays76-86Blue JaysOrioles75-87OriolesAthletics75-87AthleticsPirates75-87PiratesBraves72-90BravesPadres71-91PadresMets70-92MetsReds68-94RedsWhite Sox67-95White SoxPhillies66-96PhilliesTigers64-98TigersGiants64-98Giants.

With the new year fast approaching, we asked the biggest names in digital marketing and PR to give us their thoughts on what's coming next, to help ensure we get the best start in planning our strategies for the next year.

Below we've put together a handy infographic that shows the top takeaways that every digital marketer should be aware of. Our full 2018 predictions social media predictions report includes input from experts like Mike Stelzner (Social Media Examiner), Gini Dietrich (Spin Sucks) and Matt Navarra (The Next Web). The must-read news, updates, and insights into all things social media marketing. LinkedIn's adding a new notification which will alert users to trending skills in their area of expertise.

Facebook's launching a new library of royalty-free audio tracks you can use to enhance your videos. This infographic from Canva provides an overview of the key design principles to keep in mind when creating your visual content and layouts. This graphic provides an overview of their responses - key insight for planning your strategy. Email: Social Media Today The must-read news, updates, and insights into all things social media marketing.

Daily Sign up A valid email address is required. Please select at least one newsletter. We care about your privacy. Social Media Updates Facebook's Launching a New Library of Free Audio Tracks to Add Music to Your Videos Facebook's launching a new library of royalty-free audio tracks you can use to enhance your videos. Content Marketing Get Social Media Today in your inbox The free newsletter covering the top industry headlines Email: Social Media Today The must-read news, updates, and insights into all things social media marketing.

Search Get Social Media Today in your inbox The free newsletter covering the top industry headlines Email: Social Media Today The must-read news, updates, and insights into all things social media marketing. Will it hold its gains. The second half of 2017 has been rather stable for Ethereum even after a hard fork and Devcon 3.

CME Group launching Bitcoin futures will be. The price was mostly bouncing between the 280 and 312 USD level. For Cryptocurrencies in general.


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